Higher Oil Prices
The last few weeks have shown completely different approaches to managing energy by China and the U.S. China has lent $10 billion to Brazilian oil giant Petrobras to further its offshore exploration. In return China will get a future flow of oil equal to 160,000 barrels per day (bpd). China has lent Rosneft, Russia’s oil firm, $15 billion and Russian pipeline operator Transneft $10 billion for agreeing to supply 300,000 bpd from the new Siberian fields for the next 20 years.
In Venezuela, China will contribute $8 billion to a strategic fund for oil development mainly to increase Venezuela’s oil exports to China. China is paying now at today’s prices to insure growth in the supply of oil and their long term access to its share.
Meanwhile here in the U.S., the Obama administration is planning to severely tax exploration and production companies operating in the Gulf of Mexico (our core area of production). Boy, that will be a real incentive for any company to consider looking for oil (tish-tish). This will also make U.S. oil production more expensive (duh!).
The government has delayed and rescinded the opening of other offshore areas for additional incremental exploration and possible production (higher prices for us and less supply. Oh, and you did not know about this? HMMM! I thought we were to have full transparency in this new administration).
Since October 2004 the U.S. Department of Energy claims the global oil supply hasn’t grown much even though we had huge price increases. Most experts agree that large new oil supply is not in the picture.
So, if the supply for oil will be, say, “X” and China has already “bought up” an amount equal to “Y,” then, X-Y will equal the remaining supply. With the demand for oil rising and supply only at “Y”…..well better prepare for higher prices. Experts are predicting a price of $150-$180 a barrel very soon. That is without a major interruption in flow (war, terrorism, etc.) Ah, yes higher gas prices. Better prepare as well as make investments to benefit your family. Once again…discipline or regret.